Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.001411 0.001503 0.001597 0.001701 0.001813 0.001931 0.002063
2024-10-20 0.001262 0.001384 0.001515 0.001665 0.001833 0.002017 0.002232
2024-10-27 0.001169 0.001313 0.001472 0.001659 0.001876 0.002119 0.002414
2024-11-03 0.001066 0.001220 0.001394 0.001604 0.001853 0.002140 0.002498
2024-11-10 0.001019 0.001187 0.001379 0.001618 0.001907 0.002249 0.002686
2024-11-17 0.000964 0.001139 0.001344 0.001602 0.001923 0.002309 0.002814
2024-11-24 0.000931 0.001116 0.001335 0.001617 0.001973 0.002411 0.002997
2024-12-01 0.000881 0.001068 0.001294 0.001589 0.001966 0.002440 0.003087
2024-12-08 0.000842 0.001033 0.001266 0.001574 0.001976 0.002488 0.003200
2024-12-15 0.000809 0.001003 0.001242 0.001563 0.001987 0.002538 0.003317
2024-12-22 0.000783 0.000980 0.001227 0.001562 0.002012 0.002604 0.003458
2024-12-29 0.000754 0.000952 0.001203 0.001548 0.002018 0.002645 0.003563
2025-01-05 0.000728 0.000930 0.001188 0.001548 0.002047 0.002723 0.003735
2025-01-12 0.000692 0.000892 0.001151 0.001518 0.002031 0.002740 0.003819
2025-01-19 0.000669 0.000870 0.001134 0.001513 0.002052 0.002808 0.003979
2025-01-26 0.000630 0.000827 0.001087 0.001463 0.002006 0.002778 0.003992
2025-02-02 0.000616 0.000816 0.001084 0.001476 0.002049 0.002878 0.004207
2025-02-09 0.000595 0.000794 0.001063 0.001462 0.002054 0.002920 0.004333
2025-02-16 0.000583 0.000785 0.001061 0.001475 0.002097 0.003023 0.004558
2025-02-23 0.000560 0.000759 0.001033 0.001450 0.002082 0.003034 0.004637
2025-03-02 0.000542 0.000740 0.001015 0.001437 0.002084 0.003073 0.004762
2025-03-09 0.000526 0.000723 0.000999 0.001427 0.002090 0.003117 0.004899
2025-03-16 0.000513 0.000710 0.000990 0.001426 0.002111 0.003185 0.005077